In a very tense political climate,
Germans are anxiously following the polls these days to see what
will happen three weeks from now at the ballot box, while Bild
wonders if the country is "still governable." Friedrich Merz's
fiasco with the Migrant Tightening Bill, in axis with the
ultra-right Afd, would not, for now, have caused major shifts in
the CHD, instead gifting a point to Alice Weidel's party and
Olaf Scholz's Social Democrats. It will have to wait until the
next few days, however, to see how the electorate will really
orient itself after this heated political week, which is closing
with a large demonstration in Berlin, where thousands of people
are protesting precisely against the Cdu, which has jeopardized
the so-called "Brandmauer," the cordon sanitaire that insulates
the far right. According to the Insa poll, commissioned by Axel
Springer's tabloid, the Cdu would be deadlocked at 30 percent,
while Afd would have 22 (+1) and the Spd 17 (+1). Data emerged
from surveys taken both on Thursday (after the motion passed in
the Bundestag thanks to votes from Alternative fuer Deutschland)
and on Friday, after the bill failed and was rejected by MPs.
According to Insa, the Greens would be stationary at 12 percent,
Bsw gathers 6 percent support (-1) and the Liberals would have
just 4. In general, Union (Cdu-Csu) values have been fluctuating
between 29 and 30 for weeks, Afd is given between 20 and 23
percent (strengthened especially by Elon Musk's endorsements) ,
Spd between 15 and 17 percent, and the Greens between 12 and 15
percent. Among the open questions is also the decisive one about
which colors might form the next Bundesregierung, also in light
of the strong climate of distrust marking the relations of the
main parties after the convulsive parliamentary days that saw
Spd and Greens on the warpath against Merz's gamble. The Bild
also reported on the liberals' strong frustration, publishing a
leaked indiscretion from internal chat: "I'm starting to clear
out my office," wrote in fact the number two, Wolfgang Kubicki,
embittered by his party colleagues, who blasted the bill on
Friday.
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